作　者：涂正革 甘天琦
关键词：农业绿色发展指数；动力机制；方向距离函数；变系数半参数估计
摘　要：

实现农业绿色发展是建设美丽乡村的前提之一。研究发现，我国 30 个地区中， 大部分地区农业绿色发展状况堪忧，特别是东北部、中部和南部沿海地区均表现出长期的失衡状态；动态观察，东北部和东南沿海地区农业绿色发展逐渐恶化，中部地区状态差异明显， 未出现模仿效应。基于变系数半参数估计方法的研究结果表明：机械水平、生产水平和人力资本是推动农业绿色发展的三大动力，促增因素和促减因素交替作用导致各指标在不同时期和不同区域表现各有差异。因此，实现农业绿色发展需要因地制宜，推动经济发展同时，控制农业面源污染。

 

Research on the Regional Difference and Dynamic Mechanism of Agricultural Green Development in China

Tu Zhengge, Gan Tianqi (Huazhong Normal University)

Abstract  Achieving green agricultural development is one of the prerequisites for the construction of “beautiful villages” .This study finds that: As far as agriculture is concerned, the green development in most of China’s 30 regions is bad, especially in the northeastern, central and southern coastal regions. The green development of agriculture has gradually deteriorated, and the status in the central region was significantly different and the “imitation effect” is not exist over there. The research results based on the variable coefficient semi-parametric estimation method show that: mechanical level, production level, and human capital are the three major driving forces for promoting green development in agriculture. The alternating effect of promoting and reducing factors leads to the performance of each indicator in different periods and regions. Therefore, to achieve green agricultural development needs to adapt to local conditions, promote economic development, and control agricultural non-point source pollution. In short, the promotion of green agricultural development can achieve“a Chinese beautiful rural dream”.

Key words      agricultural green development index; dynamic mechanism; direction distance function; variable coefficient semi-parametric estimation

 

■    作者简介 涂正革，经济学博士，华中师范大学经济与工商管理学院教授，博士生导师；湖北 武汉 430079。甘天琦，华中师范大学经济与工商管理学院博士生。

 

[PDF]（下载数：）